AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 78%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Sun Oct 11). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor is the definition of clean minimalism with premium shine. Released in December 2020 as part of The Control Collection, it gives the silenced M4 a uniform, high-end finish. This M4A1-S has been painted in an “Anodized Multicolored” style, with the Blue Phosphor finish: a saturated cobalt hue floods the receiver, handguard, stock, and even the suppressor, while faint crystalline ripples and subtle tonal shifts appear as light moves across the metal. The result is a sleek, almost glassy surface that feels custom-shop perfect right out of the case. In Factory New condition, the coating is immaculate—no scuffs on the can or carry handle, no edge wear on the magwell or rails, and the luminous blue remains uniformly deep and reflective.
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Pricing

M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor ranges in price from $448.09 to $693.39.

Live snapshot: 27 quotes from 27 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:28 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
BUFF$448.09Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:57 UTC
YOUPIN$452.60Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:16 UTC
UUSKINS$454.41Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:19 UTC
SKINSWAP$454.70Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:27 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$457.11Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:46 UTC
CSFLOAT$458.79Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:09 UTC
HALOSKINS$466.11Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:13 UTC
SKINFLOW$468.63Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:25 UTC
TRADEIT$470.13Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:41 UTC
C5$473.47Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:17 UTC
AIM_MARKET$474.24Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:27 UTC
AVANMARKET$474.56Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:02 UTC
SKINVAULT$474.85Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:27 UTC
ECOSTEAM$476.24Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:14 UTC
LIS_SKINS$479.07Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:42 UTC
SKINLAND$479.54Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:45 UTC
WHITEMARKET$484.15Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:28 UTC
DMARKET$486.66Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:23 UTC
SHADOWPAY$493.11Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:28 UTC
WAXPEER$497.16Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:04 UTC
CSMONEY$526.64Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:24 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY$530.04Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
PIRATESWAP$530.62Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:29 UTC
MANNCO$532.06Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:22 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$533.54Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:07 UTC
SKINPORT$546.60Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:56 UTC
STEAM$693.39Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:06 UTC
Lowest
$448.09
Median
$476.24
Highest
$693.39

Quoted prices for this variant range from $448.09 to $693.39 across 27 markets; the lowest asking price is on BUFF, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 30 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 3 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor made its debut in CS2 on December 3, 2020 as part of the "Operation Broken Fang" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor is Classified, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.32% when unboxing. This makes it a very rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor has a float range of 0.00 to 0.08, meaning it comes in Factory New and Minimal Wear

How to Obtain

M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor can be found inside 7 containers, including Warden of the Abyss, Rifler, mateozIt belongs to the The Control Collection