AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 72%

Based on our daily kline read for Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Thu Oct 08). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Paying tribute to the original falchion sword, this knife employs a modern clip point blade with a sweeping curved edge. It has been color case-hardened through the application of wood charcoal at high temperatures. Falchion Knife | Case Hardened in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened ranges in price from $130.41 to $189.98.

Live snapshot: 26 quotes from 26 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:01 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
SKINSWAP	$130.41	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:32 UTC
CSMONEY	$133.56	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:24 UTC
CSFLOAT	$134.29	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:08 UTC
BUFF	$134.34	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:52 UTC
DMARKET	$136.65	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:22 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$137.05	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:27 UTC
TRADEIT	$137.06	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:52 UTC
SKINVAULT	$138.33	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:24 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$139.24	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:34 UTC
SKINLAND	$139.37	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:34 UTC
C5	$139.53	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:37 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$141.01	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:29 UTC
HALOSKINS	$141.09	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:35 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$141.36	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:34 UTC
YOUPIN	$142.46	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:29 UTC
UUSKINS	$143.03	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:30 UTC
AVANMARKET	$144.04	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
WAXPEER	$144.86	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$144.92	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:37 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$146.56	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:32 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$150.88	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:01 UTC
SKINPORT	$155.92	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:56 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$156.24	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 06:01 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$158.99	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 21:28 UTC
MANNCO	$169.51	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:57 UTC
STEAM	$189.98	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 08:59 UTC

Lowest: $130.41
Median: $141.23
Highest: $189.98

Quoted prices for this variant range from $130.41 to $189.98 across 26 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINSWAP, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 28 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on May 26, 2015 as part of the "The Hunter and the Hunted" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened can be found inside 1 container, including Falchion Case