AI market verdict (free summary)

NeutralConfidence 58%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A4 | Spider Lily (Mon Oct 12). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

M4A4 | Spider Lily is a floral-themed CT rifle introduced with the Operation Riptide Case in September 2021. This M4A4 has been painted in a “Custom Paint Job” style, with the Spider Lily finish: inky teal-blue panels wrapped in vivid red spider lilies and fine pink filaments, while a brass-toned barrel, gas block, and magazine accents add a warm, premium contrast. Petal clusters bloom across the receiver, handguard, and stock, and subtle patterning continues over the dust cover and buffer tube for a fully wrapped look that shines under inspection lighting. In Factory New condition, the coating is pristine: no edge rub on the muzzle, magwell, or handguard ribs, and the delicate linework remains crisp and saturated.
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Pricing

M4A4 | Spider Lily ranges in price from $6.28 to $8.58.

Live snapshot: 28 quotes from 28 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:07 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
YOUPIN$6.28Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:40 UTC
UUSKINS$6.30Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:42 UTC
SKINSWAP$6.43Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:32 UTC
AIM_MARKET$6.51Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:36 UTC
C5$6.53Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:15 UTC
BUFF$6.56Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:42 UTC
LIS_SKINS$6.56Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:41 UTC
SKINLAND$6.57Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:36 UTC
SKINFLOW$6.57Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:30 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$6.60Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:41 UTC
HALOSKINS$6.61Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:36 UTC
CSFLOAT$6.63Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:08 UTC
DMARKET$6.67Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:30 UTC
ECOSTEAM$6.67Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:44 UTC
SKINVAULT$6.76Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:15 UTC
AVANMARKET$6.81Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:32 UTC
WHITEMARKET$6.82Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:43 UTC
SKINOUT$6.85Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 17:07 UTC
TRADEIT$6.85Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:21 UTC
WAXPEER$6.89Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:41 UTC
SHADOWPAY$7.00Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:42 UTC
SKINPORT$7.15Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:56 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$7.32Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:07 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY$7.36Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:22 UTC
CSMONEY$7.46Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:22 UTC
CS_TRADE$7.61Tue, Oct 06, 2026, 10:02 UTC
MANNCO$8.39Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:27 UTC
STEAM$8.58Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:06 UTC
Lowest
$6.28
Median
$6.67
Highest
$8.58

Quoted prices for this variant range from $6.28 to $8.58 across 26 markets; the lowest asking price is on YOUPIN, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 31 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 3 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A4 | Spider Lily made its debut in CS2 on September 21, 2021 as part of the "Operation Riptide" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A4 | Spider Lily is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A4 | Spider Lily has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

M4A4 | Spider Lily can be found inside 1 container, including Operation Riptide CaseIt belongs to the The Operation Riptide Collection