AI market verdict (free summary)

NeutralConfidence 58%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A4 | Spider Lily (Mon Oct 12). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

M4A4 | Spider Lily is a floral-themed CT rifle introduced with the Operation Riptide Case in September 2021. This M4A4 has been painted in a “Custom Paint Job” style, with the Spider Lily finish: inky teal-blue panels wrapped in vivid red spider lilies and fine pink filaments, while a brass-toned barrel, gas block, and magazine accents add a warm, premium contrast. Petal clusters bloom across the receiver, handguard, and stock, and subtle patterning continues over the dust cover and buffer tube for a fully wrapped look that shines under inspection lighting. In Factory New condition, the coating is pristine: no edge rub on the muzzle, magwell, or handguard ribs, and the delicate linework remains crisp and saturated.
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Pricing

M4A4 | Spider Lily ranges in price from $4.33 to $6.46.

Live snapshot: 28 quotes from 28 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:54 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
BUFF$4.33Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:37 UTC
SKINSWAP$4.37Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:32 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$4.43Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:21 UTC
SKINOUT$4.48Mon, Oct 05, 2026, 03:37 UTC
C5$4.48Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:32 UTC
AIM_MARKET$4.49Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:36 UTC
CSFLOAT$4.50Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:07 UTC
LIS_SKINS$4.51Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:41 UTC
SKINLAND$4.52Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:36 UTC
HALOSKINS$4.53Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:26 UTC
YOUPIN$4.58Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:29 UTC
ECOSTEAM$4.60Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:43 UTC
UUSKINS$4.60Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:31 UTC
DMARKET$4.62Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:54 UTC
SKINVAULT$4.64Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:27 UTC
TRADEIT$4.66Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:40 UTC
SKINFLOW$4.66Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:29 UTC
CS_TRADE$4.67Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:07 UTC
AVANMARKET$4.68Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:32 UTC
WAXPEER$4.71Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:41 UTC
WHITEMARKET$4.71Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:43 UTC
SKINPORT$4.73Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:56 UTC
SHADOWPAY$4.81Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:42 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY$5.02Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:01 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$5.04Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:07 UTC
CSMONEY$5.75Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:10 UTC
STEAM$6.44Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:06 UTC
MANNCO$6.46Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:32 UTC
Lowest
$4.33
Median
$4.64
Highest
$6.46

Quoted prices for this variant range from $4.33 to $6.46 across 27 markets; the lowest asking price is on BUFF, the highest on MANNCO.

SeekSkins tracks 29 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A4 | Spider Lily made its debut in CS2 on September 21, 2021 as part of the "Operation Riptide" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A4 | Spider Lily is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A4 | Spider Lily has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

M4A4 | Spider Lily can be found inside 1 container, including Operation Riptide CaseIt belongs to the The Operation Riptide Collection