AI market verdict (free summary)

NeutralConfidence 58%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A4 | Spider Lily (Mon Oct 12). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

M4A4 | Spider Lily is a floral-themed CT rifle introduced with the Operation Riptide Case in September 2021. This M4A4 has been painted in a “Custom Paint Job” style, with the Spider Lily finish: inky teal-blue panels wrapped in vivid red spider lilies and fine pink filaments, while a brass-toned barrel, gas block, and magazine accents add a warm, premium contrast. Petal clusters bloom across the receiver, handguard, and stock, and subtle patterning continues over the dust cover and buffer tube for a fully wrapped look that shines under inspection lighting. In Factory New condition, the coating is pristine: no edge rub on the muzzle, magwell, or handguard ribs, and the delicate linework remains crisp and saturated.
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Pricing

M4A4 | Spider Lily ranges in price from $64.43 to $88.83.

Live snapshot: 27 quotes from 27 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:49 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
SKINPORT$64.43Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 20:56 UTC
CSFLOAT$66.50Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:10 UTC
SKINSWAP$68.62Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:27 UTC
YOUPIN$68.67Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:31 UTC
DMARKET$68.67Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:24 UTC
UUSKINS$68.95Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:35 UTC
TRADEIT$69.95Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:51 UTC
BUFF$70.23Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:27 UTC
SKINFLOW$71.30Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:29 UTC
PIRATESWAP$71.44Thu, Oct 08, 2026, 03:28 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$71.65Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
AIM_MARKET$71.69Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:03 UTC
AVANMARKET$72.31Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:32 UTC
SHADOWPAY$72.39Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:49 UTC
LIS_SKINS$72.42Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:39 UTC
SKINLAND$72.49Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:39 UTC
WAXPEER$72.98Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:09 UTC
SKINVAULT$72.99Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:02 UTC
C5$73.13Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:47 UTC
WHITEMARKET$73.31Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:32 UTC
HALOSKINS$73.88Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:02 UTC
ECOSTEAM$73.92Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:07 UTC
CSMONEY$74.50Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:32 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY$80.92Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$83.05Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:12 UTC
MANNCO$83.40Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:22 UTC
STEAM$88.83Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:07 UTC
Lowest
$64.43
Median
$72.41
Highest
$88.83

Quoted prices for this variant range from $64.43 to $88.83 across 26 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINPORT, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 27 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Background

M4A4 | Spider Lily made its debut in CS2 on September 21, 2021 as part of the "Operation Riptide" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A4 | Spider Lily is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A4 | Spider Lily has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

M4A4 | Spider Lily can be found inside 1 container, including Operation Riptide CaseIt belongs to the The Operation Riptide Collection