AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 90%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A1-S | Dark Water (Fri Oct 09). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Equipped with a silencer and a smaller magazine than its unsuppressed version, the M4A1 delivers quieter shots, reduced recoil, and greater precision. It has been painted in an aquatic-stripe pattern with charcoal metallic paints of various reflectivities over a chrome base coat. M4A1-S | Dark Water in Minimal Wear condition comes with a float range of 0.07–0.15, showing only slight wear such as small edge scratches while remaining clean overall.

Pricing

M4A1-S | Dark Water ranges in price from $51.65 to $67.75.

Live snapshot: 27 quotes from 27 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:30 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
SKINSWAP	$51.65	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:32 UTC
CSFLOAT	$51.96	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:07 UTC
BUFF	$52.08	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:07 UTC
TRADEIT	$52.49	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:50 UTC
SKINVAULT	$52.81	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:24 UTC
CSMONEY	$52.88	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:01 UTC
SKINFLOW	$53.07	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:30 UTC
C5	$53.12	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$53.12	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:21 UTC
DMARKET	$53.49	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:25 UTC
HALOSKINS	$53.61	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:25 UTC
AVANMARKET	$54.19	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$54.38	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:29 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$54.88	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:12 UTC
SKINLAND	$54.93	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:20 UTC
YOUPIN	$55.11	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:04 UTC
UUSKINS	$55.33	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:07 UTC
WAXPEER	$55.50	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:30 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$55.63	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:46 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$55.64	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:29 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$55.94	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
SKINPORT	$56.65	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:56 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$59.52	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$59.83	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:07 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$60.19	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 02:28 UTC
MANNCO	$66.76	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 02:36 UTC
STEAM	$67.75	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 20:06 UTC

Lowest: $51.65
Median: $54.63
Highest: $67.75

Quoted prices for this variant range from $51.65 to $67.75 across 26 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINSWAP, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 29 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A1-S | Dark Water made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A1-S | Dark Water is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A1-S | Dark Water has a float range of 0.10 to 0.26, meaning it comes in Minimal Wear and Field-Tested

How to Obtain

M4A1-S | Dark Water can be found inside 1 container, including CS:GO Weapon CaseIt belongs to the The Arms Deal Collection