AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 86%

Based on our daily kline read for UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Wed Oct 14). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Underestimated, but deadly—UMP-45 is your reliable sidekick for tight firefights. Just mind the mag, and let the spray do the talking. It has been custom painted with a stylized blue-magenta woman over a grayscale background. UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir ranges in price from $8.45 to $11.48.

Live snapshot: 25 quotes from 25 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:04 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
CSFLOAT	$8.45	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:09 UTC
SKINSWAP	$8.59	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:57 UTC
TRADEIT	$8.65	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:51 UTC
C5	$8.70	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:46 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$8.76	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:26 UTC
SKINLAND	$8.77	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:25 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$8.95	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:04 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$9.00	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 06:51 UTC
SKINVAULT	$9.02	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:29 UTC
CSMONEY	$9.09	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:20 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$9.13	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:01 UTC
HALOSKINS	$9.20	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:48 UTC
WAXPEER	$9.20	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:38 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$9.23	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:49 UTC
BUFF	$9.41	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:22 UTC
AVANMARKET	$9.45	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:02 UTC
YOUPIN	$9.48	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:26 UTC
SKINPORT	$9.51	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:56 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$9.89	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:57 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$9.99	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:12 UTC
SKINFLOW	$10.36	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:24 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$10.50	Tue, Oct 06, 2026, 17:15 UTC
DMARKET	$10.88	Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 23:01 UTC
STEAM	$11.30	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 08:18 UTC
MANNCO	$11.48	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 18:06 UTC

Lowest: $8.45
Median: $9.20
Highest: $11.48

Quoted prices for this variant range from $8.45 to $11.48 across 23 markets; the lowest asking price is on CSFLOAT, the highest on MANNCO.

SeekSkins tracks 28 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 3 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir made its debut in CS2 on October 2, 2024 as part of the "The Armory" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of UMP-45 | Neo-Noir is Classified, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.32% when unboxing. This makes it a very rare drop.

Exterior Versions

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir can be found inside 1 container, including Gallery CaseIt belongs to the The Gallery Collection