AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 55%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Wed Oct 14). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Less damaging than the AK‑47 but offering superior accuracy, the M4A4 is a fully automatic rifle favored by CT forces. A sheet lightning pattern has been spray-painted over a charcoal and gold-colored base. M4A4 | Sheet Lightning in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning ranges in price from $0.56 to $1.74.

Live snapshot: 27 quotes from 27 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:30 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
AIM_MARKET	$0.56	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:31 UTC
CSFLOAT	$0.58	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:08 UTC
C5	$0.60	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:51 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$0.60	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 17:01 UTC
HALOSKINS	$0.60	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 17:01 UTC
SKINFLOW	$0.61	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:29 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$0.61	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:55 UTC
SKINVAULT	$0.61	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:39 UTC
SKINSWAP	$0.61	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 17:02 UTC
BUFF	$0.62	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 17:00 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$0.62	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:29 UTC
SKINLAND	$0.62	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:54 UTC
YOUPIN	$0.63	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:38 UTC
WAXPEER	$0.63	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:30 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$0.64	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 17:02 UTC
TRADEIT	$0.65	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:21 UTC
AVANMARKET	$0.65	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:32 UTC
CS_TRADE	$0.65	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:42 UTC
DMARKET	$0.66	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:14 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$0.68	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:07 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$0.69	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 17:00 UTC
SKINPORT	$0.71	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:56 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$0.73	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:26 UTC
CSMONEY	$0.75	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:27 UTC
MANNCO	$0.92	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:42 UTC
STEAM	$0.99	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 08:06 UTC
SKINOUT	$1.74	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:36 UTC

Lowest: $0.56
Median: $0.63
Highest: $1.74

Quoted prices for this variant range from $0.56 to $1.74 across 27 markets; the lowest asking price is on AIM_MARKET, the highest on SKINOUT.

SeekSkins tracks 30 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 3 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning made its debut in CS2 on March 31, 2025 as part of the "Spring Forward" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning has a float range of 0.00 to 0.75, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning can be found inside 3 containers, including Boreal, M4A4, Restricted It belongs to the The Boreal Collection