AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 55%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Wed Oct 14). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Less damaging than the AK‑47 but offering superior accuracy, the M4A4 is a fully automatic rifle favored by CT forces. A sheet lightning pattern has been spray-painted over a charcoal and gold-colored base. M4A4 | Sheet Lightning in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning ranges in price from $1.51 to $2.31.

Live snapshot: 27 quotes from 27 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:09 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
HALOSKINS	$1.51	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:04 UTC
BUFF	$1.52	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:07 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$1.53	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:09 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$1.53	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:08 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$1.55	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:07 UTC
AVANMARKET	$1.56	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:02 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$1.56	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:56 UTC
SKINSWAP	$1.56	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:57 UTC
SKINLAND	$1.56	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:08 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$1.58	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:04 UTC
SKINVAULT	$1.58	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:04 UTC
SKINFLOW	$1.62	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:29 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$1.62	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:08 UTC
C5	$1.63	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 16:43 UTC
YOUPIN	$1.64	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:27 UTC
WAXPEER	$1.65	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:09 UTC
TRADEIT	$1.66	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:42 UTC
SKINOUT	$1.67	Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 16:37 UTC
CS_TRADE	$1.67	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:07 UTC
CSFLOAT	$1.67	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:10 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$1.74	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:07 UTC
CSMONEY	$1.74	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:34 UTC
SKINPORT	$1.80	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:56 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$1.80	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:34 UTC
MANNCO	$1.96	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:31 UTC
DMARKET	$2.05	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:57 UTC
STEAM	$2.31	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 10:06 UTC

Lowest: $1.51
Median: $1.63
Highest: $2.31

Quoted prices for this variant range from $1.51 to $2.31 across 26 markets; the lowest asking price is on HALOSKINS, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 30 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 3 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning made its debut in CS2 on March 31, 2025 as part of the "Spring Forward" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning has a float range of 0.00 to 0.75, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning can be found inside 3 containers, including Boreal, M4A4, Restricted It belongs to the The Boreal Collection