AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 55%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Wed Oct 14). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Less damaging than the AK‑47 but offering superior accuracy, the M4A4 is a fully automatic rifle favored by CT forces. A sheet lightning pattern has been spray-painted over a charcoal and gold-colored base. M4A4 | Sheet Lightning in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning ranges in price from $0.59 to $1.42.

Live snapshot: 26 quotes from 26 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:09 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
BUFF	$0.59	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:27 UTC
SKINSWAP	$0.62	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:22 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$0.65	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:04 UTC
CS_TRADE	$0.66	Tue, Oct 06, 2026, 10:02 UTC
CSFLOAT	$0.66	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 07:07 UTC
YOUPIN	$0.67	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:28 UTC
SKINOUT	$0.67	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 16:37 UTC
C5	$0.67	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:03 UTC
CSMONEY	$0.68	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:46 UTC
SKINVAULT	$0.68	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:59 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$0.68	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:09 UTC
HALOSKINS	$0.68	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:18 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$0.68	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 18:26 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$0.71	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:56 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$0.72	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:07 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$0.72	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:58 UTC
SKINLAND	$0.73	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:45 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$0.76	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:07 UTC
MANNCO	$0.79	Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 12:11 UTC
STEAM	$0.80	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 10:06 UTC
SKINPORT	$0.95	Thu, Oct 08, 2026, 04:52 UTC
DMARKET	$1.01	Sun, Oct 04, 2026, 20:28 UTC
AVANMARKET	$1.27	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$1.35	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:06 UTC
SKINFLOW	$1.42	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:29 UTC
WAXPEER	$1.42	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:03 UTC

Lowest: $0.59
Median: $0.68
Highest: $1.42

Quoted prices for this variant range from $0.59 to $1.42 across 22 markets; the lowest asking price is on BUFF, the highest on WAXPEER.

SeekSkins tracks 29 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 3 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning made its debut in CS2 on March 31, 2025 as part of the "Spring Forward" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning has a float range of 0.00 to 0.75, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning can be found inside 3 containers, including Boreal, M4A4, Restricted It belongs to the The Boreal Collection