AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 80%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A4 | Polysoup (Wed Oct 14). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Less damaging than the AK‑47 but offering superior accuracy, the M4A4 is a fully automatic rifle favored by CT forces. It has been custom painted with multicolored crystals and finished with pearlescent accents. M4A4 | Polysoup in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

M4A4 | Polysoup ranges in price from $83.95 to $1,138.30.

Live snapshot: 14 quotes from 14 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:07 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
CSFLOAT	$83.95	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 11:35 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$116.53	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:10 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$118.80	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:15 UTC
WAXPEER	$119.52	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:54 UTC
C5	$120.04	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:01 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$124.34	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 04:13 UTC
SKINLAND	$124.46	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 04:14 UTC
SKINFLOW	$126.20	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:29 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$126.22	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:40 UTC
YOUPIN	$149.14	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:29 UTC
TRADEIT	$156.14	Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 07:56 UTC
AVANMARKET	$160.52	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:01 UTC
BUFF	$535.05	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:58 UTC
STEAM	$1,138.30	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:07 UTC

Lowest: $83.95
Median: $126.20
Highest: $1,138.30

Quoted prices for this variant range from $83.95 to $1,138.30 across 11 markets; the lowest asking price is on CSFLOAT, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 16 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A4 | Polysoup made its debut in CS2 on October 2, 2024 as part of the "The Armory" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A4 | Polysoup is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A4 | Polysoup has a float range of 0.00 to 0.64, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

It belongs to the The Graphic Design Collection