AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 90%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A1-S | Dark Water (Fri Oct 09). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Equipped with a silencer and a smaller magazine than its unsuppressed version, the M4A1 delivers quieter shots, reduced recoil, and greater precision. It has been painted in an aquatic-stripe pattern with charcoal metallic paints of various reflectivities over a chrome base coat. M4A1-S | Dark Water in Minimal Wear condition comes with a float range of 0.07–0.15, showing only slight wear such as small edge scratches while remaining clean overall.

Pricing

M4A1-S | Dark Water ranges in price from $91.74 to $126.18.

Live snapshot: 29 quotes from 29 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:41 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
SKINPORT	$91.74	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 17:56 UTC
DMARKET	$96.11	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:32 UTC
TRADEIT	$96.12	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:01 UTC
SKINSWAP	$96.73	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:57 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$97.53	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:15 UTC
SKINOUT	$97.97	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:07 UTC
CSFLOAT	$99.50	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:09 UTC
HALOSKINS	$99.76	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:13 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$99.82	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:28 UTC
C5	$99.85	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 03:35 UTC
YOUPIN	$100.46	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 08:52 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$100.57	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:22 UTC
UUSKINS	$100.86	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 08:52 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$101.00	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:37 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$101.65	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:28 UTC
AVANMARKET	$101.66	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
CSMONEY	$101.73	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:22 UTC
SKINLAND	$101.75	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:41 UTC
SKINFLOW	$102.36	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:22 UTC
WAXPEER	$102.87	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:03 UTC
SKINVAULT	$103.20	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:38 UTC
CS_TRADE	$104.52	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:07 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$105.27	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:40 UTC
BUFF	$107.29	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:57 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$109.02	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:12 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$109.46	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:56 UTC
STEAM	$118.76	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 10:06 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$122.28	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
MANNCO	$126.18	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:31 UTC

Lowest: $91.74
Median: $101.65
Highest: $126.18

Quoted prices for this variant range from $91.74 to $126.18 across 29 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINPORT, the highest on MANNCO.

SeekSkins tracks 29 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Background

M4A1-S | Dark Water made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A1-S | Dark Water is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A1-S | Dark Water has a float range of 0.10 to 0.26, meaning it comes in Minimal Wear and Field-Tested

How to Obtain

M4A1-S | Dark Water can be found inside 1 container, including CS:GO Weapon CaseIt belongs to the The Arms Deal Collection