AI market verdict (free summary)

NeutralConfidence 65%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Sun Oct 11). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy is a sinister, storybook-inspired CT rifle from The Fracture Collection, released in August 2020 with the Fracture Case. Designed by community duo 2minds, it mixes gloomy greens, black, and blood-red hues with a chilling fairy motif, scattered teeth, and stitched cloth details.This M4A4 has been painted in a “Custom Paint Job” style, with the Tooth Fairy finish: showing incisors, molars, and eerie artwork wrapped across the receiver, handguard, and stock. In Factory New condition, the artwork is razor-sharp, edges are clean, and typical wear points like the barrel, magwell, and handguard show no scuffs or fading, preserving the skin’s high-contrast textures and unsettling vibe.

Pricing

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy ranges in price from $58.27 to $100.52.

Live snapshot: 8 quotes from 8 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:10 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
MARKET_CSGO	$58.27	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:10 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$59.03	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:05 UTC
WAXPEER	$60.02	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:51 UTC
C5	$60.33	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:02 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$63.29	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 17:01 UTC
SKINLAND	$63.35	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 17:00 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$63.40	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:04 UTC
SKINFLOW	$100.52	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 11:29 UTC

Lowest: $58.27
Median: $61.81
Highest: $100.52

Quoted prices for this variant range from $58.27 to $100.52 across 8 markets; the lowest asking price is on MARKET_CSGO, the highest on SKINFLOW.

SeekSkins tracks 10 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy made its debut in CS2 on August 6, 2020 as part of the "On the Case" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A4 | Tooth Fairy is Classified, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.32% when unboxing. This makes it a very rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy has a float range of 0.00 to 0.73, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy can be found inside 1 container, including Fracture CaseIt belongs to the The Fracture Collection