AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 70%

Based on our daily kline read for AWP | Exothermic (Sun Oct 04). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

High risk and high reward, the infamous AWP is recognizable by its signature report and one-shot, one-kill policy. A red-colored burst pattern has been applied. "Cool guys don't look at explosions"

Pricing

AWP | Exothermic ranges in price from $71.03 to $127.72.

Live snapshot: 18 quotes from 18 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:30 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
CSFLOAT	$41.64	Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 14:02 UTC
DMARKET	$45.78	Tue, Oct 06, 2026, 19:00 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$62.28	Tue, Oct 06, 2026, 17:09 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$62.31	Tue, Oct 06, 2026, 13:33 UTC
SKINLAND	$62.37	Tue, Oct 06, 2026, 13:30 UTC
STEAM	$71.03	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:03 UTC
BUFF	$104.39	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:58 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$106.71	Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 09:06 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$112.91	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:29 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$114.17	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 08:43 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$116.51	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:09 UTC
WAXPEER	$117.37	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:30 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$117.67	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:30 UTC
YOUPIN	$117.81	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:38 UTC
TRADEIT	$123.34	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 15:46 UTC
AVANMARKET	$126.80	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 16:32 UTC
MANNCO	$127.72	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:02 UTC
SKINFLOW	$131.85	Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 10:34 UTC

Lowest: $71.03
Median: $116.51
Highest: $127.72

Quoted prices for this variant range from $71.03 to $127.72 across 9 markets; the lowest asking price is on STEAM, the highest on MANNCO.

SeekSkins tracks 20 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

AWP | Exothermic made its debut in CS2 on January 21, 2026 as part of the "Fourth Season Skins" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of AWP | Exothermic is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

AWP | Exothermic has a float range of 0.00 to 0.70, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

It belongs to the The Harlequin Collection