AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 55%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Wed Oct 14). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Less damaging than the AK‑47 but offering superior accuracy, the M4A4 is a fully automatic rifle favored by CT forces. A sheet lightning pattern has been spray-painted over a charcoal and gold-colored base. M4A4 | Sheet Lightning in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning ranges in price from $104.60 to $1,245.67.

Live snapshot: 15 quotes from 15 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:26 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
BUFF	$104.60	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 06:17 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$106.71	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 06:41 UTC
WAXPEER	$118.87	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:51 UTC
YOUPIN	$119.25	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:30 UTC
C5	$120.23	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 10:01 UTC
TRADEIT	$124.76	Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 07:56 UTC
CSFLOAT	$125.00	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 16:59 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$127.16	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:04 UTC
AVANMARKET	$128.26	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 17:32 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$128.46	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:29 UTC
SKINLAND	$128.58	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:27 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$130.03	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:43 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$131.20	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:26 UTC
STEAM	$139.96	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 10:07 UTC
SKINFLOW	$1,245.67	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:26 UTC

Lowest: $104.60
Median: $128.26
Highest: $1,245.67

Quoted prices for this variant range from $104.60 to $1,245.67 across 13 markets; the lowest asking price is on BUFF, the highest on SKINFLOW.

SeekSkins tracks 18 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 3 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning made its debut in CS2 on March 31, 2025 as part of the "Spring Forward" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning has a float range of 0.00 to 0.75, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

It belongs to the The Boreal Collection