AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 55%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Wed Oct 14). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Less damaging than the AK‑47 but offering superior accuracy, the M4A4 is a fully automatic rifle favored by CT forces. A sheet lightning pattern has been spray-painted over a charcoal and gold-colored base. M4A4 | Sheet Lightning in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning ranges in price from $52.71 to $228.51.

Live snapshot: 15 quotes from 15 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:10 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
CSFLOAT	$46.24	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 23:00 UTC
STEAM	$52.71	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 20:07 UTC
HALOSKINS	$69.51	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 21:36 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$69.64	Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 21:13 UTC
WAXPEER	$69.95	Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 21:11 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$69.95	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:10 UTC
SKINFLOW	$71.16	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:20 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$71.52	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:08 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$72.22	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:23 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$73.67	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 22:24 UTC
TRADEIT	$109.01	Wed, Oct 07, 2026, 10:57 UTC
YOUPIN	$164.02	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 21:26 UTC
AVANMARKET	$176.41	Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 17:32 UTC
BUFF	$224.00	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:22 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$228.51	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:31 UTC

Lowest: $52.71
Median: $71.87
Highest: $228.51

Quoted prices for this variant range from $52.71 to $228.51 across 10 markets; the lowest asking price is on STEAM, the highest on BUFF_MARKET.

SeekSkins tracks 19 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 4 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning made its debut in CS2 on March 31, 2025 as part of the "Spring Forward" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning has a float range of 0.00 to 0.75, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

It belongs to the The Boreal Collection