AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 55%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Wed Oct 14). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Less damaging than the AK‑47 but offering superior accuracy, the M4A4 is a fully automatic rifle favored by CT forces. A sheet lightning pattern has been spray-painted over a charcoal and gold-colored base. M4A4 | Sheet Lightning in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning ranges in price from $34.77 to $97.14.

Live snapshot: 13 quotes from 13 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:31 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
YOUPIN	$34.77	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:42 UTC
CSFLOAT	$35.35	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:08 UTC
TRADEIT	$36.39	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 11:26 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$37.11	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:31 UTC
AVANMARKET	$37.41	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 17:02 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$37.47	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:33 UTC
SKINLAND	$37.50	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:26 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$38.40	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:35 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$40.55	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:10 UTC
WAXPEER	$41.78	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:30 UTC
STEAM	$84.12	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 10:07 UTC
SKINFLOW	$94.24	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 11:29 UTC
C5	$97.14	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 10:01 UTC

Lowest: $34.77
Median: $37.95
Highest: $97.14

Quoted prices for this variant range from $34.77 to $97.14 across 12 markets; the lowest asking price is on YOUPIN, the highest on C5.

SeekSkins tracks 14 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning made its debut in CS2 on March 31, 2025 as part of the "Spring Forward" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning has a float range of 0.00 to 0.75, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

It belongs to the The Boreal Collection