AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 85%

Based on our daily kline read for AWP | Lightning Strike (Fri Oct 09). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

AWP | Lightning Strike is a certified classic from CS:GO’s earliest era. Released in August 2013 with the CS:GO Weapon Case during the Arms Deal update, it pairs the game’s most iconic sniper with a timeless, electric motif. This AWP has been painted in an Anodized Multicolored style, with the Lightning Strike finish: a mirror-like purple aluminum base shimmers as a jagged white bolt tears across the receiver and stock. The metallic dye produces subtle gradients that shift under light, while the barrel, bipod, and scope remain dark to frame the stormy artwork. In Factory New condition, the surface is pristine—no edge wear on the muzzle or scope rings, no clouding of the anodized sheen, and the bolt runs crisp and uninterrupted. It’s a sleek, collector-grade statement piece built for thunderous one-shots.
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Pricing

AWP | Lightning Strike ranges in price from $696.00 to $1,343.60.

Live snapshot: 16 quotes from 16 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:03 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
SKINPORT$628.97Mon, Oct 05, 2026, 17:50 UTC
BUFF$696.00Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:58 UTC
CSFLOAT$705.00Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 18:05 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$711.39Mon, Oct 05, 2026, 02:46 UTC
YOUPIN$894.71Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:30 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$932.21Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:09 UTC
TRADEIT$936.61Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 07:56 UTC
WAXPEER$948.27Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:04 UTC
ECOSTEAM$949.49Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 05:15 UTC
C5$950.83Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:01 UTC
AIM_MARKET$954.70Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:08 UTC
AVANMARKET$962.89Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 04:32 UTC
WHITEMARKET$975.00Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 00:29 UTC
SKINFLOW$999.61Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:29 UTC
CSMONEY$1,000.00Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 16:31 UTC
STEAM$1,343.60Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:03 UTC
Lowest
$696.00
Median
$948.88
Highest
$1,343.60

Quoted prices for this variant range from $696.00 to $1,343.60 across 10 markets; the lowest asking price is on BUFF, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 20 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 4 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

AWP | Lightning Strike made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of AWP | Lightning Strike is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

AWP | Lightning Strike has a float range of 0.00 to 0.08, meaning it comes in Factory New and Minimal Wear

How to Obtain

AWP | Lightning Strike can be found inside 1 container, including CS:GO Weapon CaseIt belongs to the The Arms Deal Collection