AI market verdict (free summary)

NeutralConfidence 65%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Sun Oct 11). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy is a sinister, storybook-inspired CT rifle from The Fracture Collection, released in August 2020 with the Fracture Case. Designed by community duo 2minds, it mixes gloomy greens, black, and blood-red hues with a chilling fairy motif, scattered teeth, and stitched cloth details.This M4A4 has been painted in a “Custom Paint Job” style, with the Tooth Fairy finish: showing incisors, molars, and eerie artwork wrapped across the receiver, handguard, and stock. In Factory New condition, the artwork is razor-sharp, edges are clean, and typical wear points like the barrel, magwell, and handguard show no scuffs or fading, preserving the skin’s high-contrast textures and unsettling vibe.
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Pricing

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy ranges in price from $1,325.42 to $2,958.63.

Live snapshot: 4 quotes from 4 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:01 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
BUFF$1,325.42Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:59 UTC
YOUPIN$2,518.42Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:41 UTC
C5$2,816.67Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:01 UTC
SKINFLOW$2,958.63Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:20 UTC
Lowest
$1,325.42
Median
$2,667.55
Highest
$2,958.63

Quoted prices for this variant range from $1,325.42 to $2,958.63 across 4 markets; the lowest asking price is on BUFF, the highest on SKINFLOW.

SeekSkins tracks 6 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy made its debut in CS2 on August 6, 2020 as part of the "On the Case" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A4 | Tooth Fairy is Classified, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.32% when unboxing. This makes it a very rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy has a float range of 0.00 to 0.73, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy can be found inside 1 container, including Fracture CaseIt belongs to the The Fracture Collection