AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 64%

Based on our daily kline read for M9 Bayonet | Fade (Fri Oct 09). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

★ M9 Bayonet | Fade is a showpiece combat knife first obtainable as a Rare Special drop in the original Arms Deal cases. This M9 Bayonet has been finished in an “Anodized Airbrushed” style, with the Fade finish. Silky gradients flow from warm gold at the ricasso into hot magenta and violet toward the tip, accenting the knife’s long fuller, sawback spine, and classic crossguard. The glossy, candy-metal sheen makes the colors shift under light, and collectors often chase high “fade %” patterns for maximum coverage. In Factory New condition, the edges, serrations, and guard are pristine: no rub on the spine, no micro-scratches along the bevel, and the reflective surface remains perfectly uniform. Bold, iconic, and highly collectible, it brings premium, show-car flair to any loadout.
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Pricing

★ M9 Bayonet | Fade ranges in price from $783.45 to $1,331.43.

Live snapshot: 27 quotes from 27 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:41 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
YOUPIN$783.45Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:37 UTC
UUSKINS$786.58Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:39 UTC
SKINSWAP$793.88Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:32 UTC
CSFLOAT$799.72Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:08 UTC
DMARKET$801.44Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:41 UTC
TRADEIT$815.70Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 08:31 UTC
C5$817.10Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:37 UTC
AIM_MARKET$817.99Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:09 UTC
WAXPEER$818.18Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:21 UTC
SKINVAULT$819.97Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:33 UTC
BUFF$821.88Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:40 UTC
HALOSKINS$824.68Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:40 UTC
AVANMARKET$825.01Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
SHADOWPAY$826.01Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
LIS_SKINS$826.33Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:42 UTC
SKINLAND$827.15Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:43 UTC
ECOSTEAM$827.41Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:40 UTC
SKINPORT$835.25Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:56 UTC
WHITEMARKET$836.37Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:41 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$845.90Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
CSMONEY$855.89Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 11:54 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$895.06Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:03 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY$899.13Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
SKINFLOW$906.56Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:29 UTC
PIRATESWAP$940.93Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 03:29 UTC
MANNCO$983.64Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 02:36 UTC
STEAM$1,331.43Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 08:07 UTC
Lowest
$783.45
Median
$825.51
Highest
$1,331.43

Quoted prices for this variant range from $783.45 to $1,331.43 across 26 markets; the lowest asking price is on YOUPIN, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 29 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ M9 Bayonet | Fade made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ M9 Bayonet | Fade has a float range of 0.00 to 0.08, meaning it comes in Factory New and Minimal Wear

How to Obtain

★ M9 Bayonet | Fade can be found inside 11 containers, including CS:GO Weapon Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, CS:GO Weapon Case 3