AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 58%

Based on our daily kline read for M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Fri Oct 09). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

The M9 bayonet, originally crafted to be mounted on a rifle, is just as effective for close-quarters fighting as it is as a military accessory. It has been color case-hardened through the application of wood charcoal at high temperatures. M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened ranges in price from $418.78 to $711.82.

Live snapshot: 25 quotes from 25 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:41 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
SKINSWAP	$418.78	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:02 UTC
BUFF	$431.25	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:47 UTC
YOUPIN	$434.13	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
UUSKINS	$435.87	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:02 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$439.93	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:41 UTC
CSFLOAT	$445.00	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:07 UTC
C5	$445.88	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:37 UTC
HALOSKINS	$450.15	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:40 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$453.22	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:04 UTC
AVANMARKET	$457.10	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$457.83	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:00 UTC
SKINLAND	$458.28	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:02 UTC
WAXPEER	$458.90	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$459.50	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:37 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$463.49	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:38 UTC
MANNCO	$472.40	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:27 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$472.40	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:12 UTC
TRADEIT	$473.74	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:52 UTC
SKINPORT	$480.52	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:56 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$481.10	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:03 UTC
CSMONEY	$484.21	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:24 UTC
SKINVAULT	$497.12	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:39 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$516.48	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
DMARKET	$638.74	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:41 UTC
STEAM	$711.82	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 08:07 UTC

Lowest: $418.78
Median: $458.90
Highest: $711.82

Quoted prices for this variant range from $418.78 to $711.82 across 25 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINSWAP, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 26 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened can be found inside 11 containers, including CS:GO Weapon Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, CS:GO Weapon Case 3