AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 90%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A1-S | Dark Water (Fri Oct 09). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Equipped with a silencer and a smaller magazine than its unsuppressed version, the M4A1 delivers quieter shots, reduced recoil, and greater precision. It has been painted in an aquatic-stripe pattern with charcoal metallic paints of various reflectivities over a chrome base coat. M4A1-S | Dark Water in Minimal Wear condition comes with a float range of 0.07–0.15, showing only slight wear such as small edge scratches while remaining clean overall.

Pricing

M4A1-S | Dark Water ranges in price from $59.07 to $88.27.

Live snapshot: 28 quotes from 28 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:44 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
SKINSWAP	$59.07	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:27 UTC
YOUPIN	$59.45	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:02 UTC
C5	$59.64	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:03 UTC
UUSKINS	$59.69	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:05 UTC
CSFLOAT	$60.19	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:09 UTC
BUFF	$60.21	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:38 UTC
AVANMARKET	$60.22	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:32 UTC
SKINVAULT	$61.06	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:03 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$61.27	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:48 UTC
TRADEIT	$61.41	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 19:12 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$61.42	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:41 UTC
HALOSKINS	$61.74	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:48 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$62.07	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:07 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$62.67	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:43 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$62.70	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:42 UTC
SKINLAND	$62.76	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:46 UTC
WAXPEER	$63.09	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:44 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$63.46	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:07 UTC
SKINFLOW	$63.55	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:26 UTC
DMARKET	$63.89	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:40 UTC
CS_TRADE	$64.62	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:07 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$65.46	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:07 UTC
CSMONEY	$66.73	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:20 UTC
SKINPORT	$67.59	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:56 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$68.82	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$70.58	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:24 UTC
MANNCO	$75.01	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 18:06 UTC
STEAM	$88.27	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 08:06 UTC

Lowest: $59.07
Median: $62.69
Highest: $88.27

Quoted prices for this variant range from $59.07 to $88.27 across 28 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINSWAP, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 29 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A1-S | Dark Water made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A1-S | Dark Water is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A1-S | Dark Water has a float range of 0.10 to 0.26, meaning it comes in Minimal Wear and Field-Tested

How to Obtain

M4A1-S | Dark Water can be found inside 1 container, including CS:GO Weapon CaseIt belongs to the The Arms Deal Collection