AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 82%

Based on our daily kline read for Nova | Rising Skull (Thu Oct 08). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Nova | Rising Skull — Nova’s low cost makes it a reliable ambush pick for budget‑strapped teams. It has been customized with an image of a skull using matte paints and an oil-based paint marker. In Factory New condition it has a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing nearly flawless with little to no visible wear.
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Pricing

Nova | Rising Skull ranges in price from $4.39 to $30.20.

Live snapshot: 21 quotes from 21 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
CSMONEY$4.39Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 10:41 UTC
CSFLOAT$4.55Wed, Oct 07, 2026, 23:47 UTC
STEAM$5.77Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:02 UTC
ECOSTEAM$6.20Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
BUFF$6.71Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 08:07 UTC
YOUPIN$6.83Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:50 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$6.85Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 07:56 UTC
UUSKINS$6.86Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:53 UTC
TRADEIT$7.02Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 11:18 UTC
AVANMARKET$7.20Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:01 UTC
SHADOWPAY$7.20Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
LIS_SKINS$7.20Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:57 UTC
SKINLAND$7.21Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:58 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$7.30Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:05 UTC
WHITEMARKET$7.31Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:25 UTC
C5$7.92Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:01 UTC
HALOSKINS$8.01Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:50 UTC
MANNCO$8.20Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 22:21 UTC
SKINFLOW$8.20Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:20 UTC
AIM_MARKET$8.24Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 17:09 UTC
WAXPEER$30.20Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:21 UTC
Lowest
$4.39
Median
$7.21
Highest
$30.20

Quoted prices for this variant range from $4.39 to $30.20 across 16 markets; the lowest asking price is on CSMONEY, the highest on WAXPEER.

SeekSkins tracks 22 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

Nova | Rising Skull made its debut in CS2 on December 18, 2013 as part of the "Winter Offensive" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of Nova | Rising Skull is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

Nova | Rising Skull has a float range of 0.00 to 0.50, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

Nova | Rising Skull can be found inside 1 container, including Winter Offensive Weapon CaseIt belongs to the The Winter Offensive Collection