AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 90%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A1-S | Dark Water (Fri Oct 09). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Equipped with a silencer and a smaller magazine than its unsuppressed version, the M4A1 delivers quieter shots, reduced recoil, and greater precision. It has been painted in an aquatic-stripe pattern with charcoal metallic paints of various reflectivities over a chrome base coat. M4A1-S | Dark Water in Minimal Wear condition comes with a float range of 0.07–0.15, showing only slight wear such as small edge scratches while remaining clean overall.

Pricing

M4A1-S | Dark Water ranges in price from $105.68 to $388.35.

Live snapshot: 27 quotes from 27 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:05 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
CSFLOAT	$105.68	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:07 UTC
SKINSWAP	$105.84	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:32 UTC
SKINFLOW	$106.72	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 04:42 UTC
SKINVAULT	$108.16	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 05:36 UTC
BUFF	$108.22	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:12 UTC
CSMONEY	$108.62	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:30 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$109.35	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:16 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$110.41	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 10:46 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$110.43	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:09 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$111.76	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:06 UTC
SKINLAND	$111.87	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:05 UTC
TRADEIT	$112.20	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:19 UTC
C5	$112.23	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$112.74	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:58 UTC
HALOSKINS	$113.27	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:50 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$116.82	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:27 UTC
WAXPEER	$117.34	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:51 UTC
AVANMARKET	$119.36	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
YOUPIN	$120.25	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:31 UTC
UUSKINS	$120.73	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:35 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$122.49	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$125.11	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:29 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$126.72	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:06 UTC
SKINPORT	$128.23	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:56 UTC
MANNCO	$133.41	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:17 UTC
STEAM	$170.00	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 08:06 UTC
DMARKET	$388.35	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:05 UTC

Lowest: $105.68
Median: $112.74
Highest: $388.35

Quoted prices for this variant range from $105.68 to $388.35 across 27 markets; the lowest asking price is on CSFLOAT, the highest on DMARKET.

SeekSkins tracks 28 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A1-S | Dark Water made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A1-S | Dark Water is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A1-S | Dark Water has a float range of 0.10 to 0.26, meaning it comes in Minimal Wear and Field-Tested

How to Obtain

M4A1-S | Dark Water can be found inside 1 container, including CS:GO Weapon CaseIt belongs to the The Arms Deal Collection