AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 82%

Based on our daily kline read for Karambit | Case Hardened (Tue Oct 06). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Karambit | Case Hardened is a premium knife finish that debuted with CS:GO’s Arms Deal Update in August 2013, appearing as a Rare Special item across early Weapon Cases. The blade uses the “Patina” style: heat-treated steel that produces unique swirls of blue, purple, and gold. Every pattern seed is one-of-a-kind, and high-blue “blue gem” faces are especially coveted by collectors. The curved talon profile features a matte black handle with finger grooves and a safety ring for a secure, tactical grip. In Factory New condition, the blade shows crisp color case-hardening with no scuffs, edge wear, or discoloration, letting the iridescent sheen pop under any lighting. Beloved since launch and consistently ranked among the most popular knives, Karambit | Case Hardened remains in high demand for its rarity, iconic silhouette, and chase-worthy pattern variability.

Pricing

★ Karambit | Case Hardened ranges in price from $631.54 to $797.48.

Live snapshot: 26 quotes from 26 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:47 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
SKINSWAP	$631.54	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:02 UTC
DMARKET	$631.94	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 19:30 UTC
CSFLOAT	$638.79	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:09 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$644.42	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:12 UTC
SKINLAND	$645.06	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:45 UTC
C5	$649.04	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:47 UTC
HALOSKINS	$655.17	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:46 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$656.46	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:46 UTC
BUFF	$657.43	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:37 UTC
YOUPIN	$658.24	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:44 UTC
UUSKINS	$660.87	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:47 UTC
SKINVAULT	$661.96	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:29 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$670.67	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:01 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$671.73	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:09 UTC
WAXPEER	$676.64	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:58 UTC
TRADEIT	$677.90	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 19:12 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$678.34	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:44 UTC
AVANMARKET	$681.25	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$683.21	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:43 UTC
CSMONEY	$694.43	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 20:48 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$709.69	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:01 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$742.24	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
MANNCO	$747.96	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:47 UTC
SKINPORT	$755.83	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:56 UTC
LOOTFARM	$797.48	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:21 UTC
STEAM	$920.00	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:07 UTC

Lowest: $631.54
Median: $670.67
Highest: $797.48

Quoted prices for this variant range from $631.54 to $797.48 across 25 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINSWAP, the highest on LOOTFARM.

SeekSkins tracks 27 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Karambit | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Karambit | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Karambit | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Karambit | Case Hardened can be found inside 11 containers, including CS:GO Weapon Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, CS:GO Weapon Case 3