AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 82%

Based on our daily kline read for Karambit | Case Hardened (Tue Oct 06). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Karambit | Case Hardened is a premium knife finish that debuted with CS:GO’s Arms Deal Update in August 2013, appearing as a Rare Special item across early Weapon Cases. The blade uses the “Patina” style: heat-treated steel that produces unique swirls of blue, purple, and gold. Every pattern seed is one-of-a-kind, and high-blue “blue gem” faces are especially coveted by collectors. The curved talon profile features a matte black handle with finger grooves and a safety ring for a secure, tactical grip. In Factory New condition, the blade shows crisp color case-hardening with no scuffs, edge wear, or discoloration, letting the iridescent sheen pop under any lighting. Beloved since launch and consistently ranked among the most popular knives, Karambit | Case Hardened remains in high demand for its rarity, iconic silhouette, and chase-worthy pattern variability.

Pricing

★ Karambit | Case Hardened ranges in price from $656.01 to $1,024.13.

Live snapshot: 25 quotes from 25 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:53 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
BUFF	$656.01	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:12 UTC
DMARKET	$665.69	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:53 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$669.22	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:06 UTC
CSFLOAT	$672.02	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:08 UTC
SKINSWAP	$674.32	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:02 UTC
YOUPIN	$685.37	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:02 UTC
UUSKINS	$688.11	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:02 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$688.14	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:02 UTC
HALOSKINS	$703.78	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:05 UTC
SKINVAULT	$705.20	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:33 UTC
C5	$706.97	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 03:46 UTC
WAXPEER	$707.38	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:25 UTC
CSMONEY	$711.77	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:24 UTC
AVANMARKET	$713.68	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:02 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$715.06	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:15 UTC
TRADEIT	$721.21	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:19 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$721.35	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:31 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$722.51	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
SKINPORT	$722.78	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:56 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$722.80	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:36 UTC
SKINLAND	$723.52	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:38 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$778.23	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
MANNCO	$778.44	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:37 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$796.07	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:02 UTC
STEAM	$1,024.13	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:07 UTC

Lowest: $656.01
Median: $711.77
Highest: $1,024.13

Quoted prices for this variant range from $656.01 to $1,024.13 across 25 markets; the lowest asking price is on BUFF, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 27 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Karambit | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Karambit | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Karambit | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Karambit | Case Hardened can be found inside 11 containers, including CS:GO Weapon Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, CS:GO Weapon Case 3