AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 82%

Based on our daily kline read for AK-47 | Case Hardened (Fri Oct 09). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

AK-47 | Case Hardened is a heritage skin from the original Arms Deal update, released in August 2013 from the CS:GO Weapon Case. This AK-47 has been finished in a Patina style with the Case Hardened treatment, recreating heat-tempered steel that blooms into swirls of cobalt, violet, and straw-gold across the receiver, barrel, and magazine. Rich redwood on the handguard and stock grounds the iridescent metal with classic AK character. Every piece is pattern-dependent; collectors chase “Blue Gem” indices that push solid blue across the play side. In Factory New condition, the tempered sheen is flawless—no edge wear, scratches, or dull spots—so the colors remain glassy and intense during inspect animations. Durable, historic, and endlessly varied, AK-47 | Case Hardened brings industrial artistry to a fan-favorite rifle and stands as a perennial grail for dedicated AK enjoyers.

Pricing

AK-47 | Case Hardened ranges in price from $559.00 to $897.70.

Live snapshot: 22 quotes from 22 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:11 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
CSFLOAT	$559.00	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:08 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$575.51	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:39 UTC
SKINSWAP	$585.94	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:32 UTC
YOUPIN	$590.91	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:00 UTC
TRADEIT	$593.10	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 14:10 UTC
C5	$596.50	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:00 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$597.89	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:46 UTC
SKINLAND	$597.94	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:54 UTC
HALOSKINS	$602.88	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:20 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$605.95	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:47 UTC
UUSKINS	$606.46	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:08 UTC
SKINVAULT	$615.83	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:11 UTC
BUFF	$623.04	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:50 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$626.73	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:47 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$635.00	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:11 UTC
AVANMARKET	$636.01	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:02 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$636.78	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$652.59	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:11 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$662.32	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:27 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$675.24	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
MANNCO	$686.07	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:32 UTC
STEAM	$897.70	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 20:01 UTC

Lowest: $559.00
Median: $611.15
Highest: $897.70

Quoted prices for this variant range from $559.00 to $897.70 across 22 markets; the lowest asking price is on CSFLOAT, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 24 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

AK-47 | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of AK-47 | Case Hardened is Classified, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.32% when unboxing. This makes it a very rare drop.

Exterior Versions

AK-47 | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

AK-47 | Case Hardened can be found inside 1 container, including CS:GO Weapon CaseIt belongs to the The Arms Deal Collection