AI market verdict (free summary)

NeutralConfidence 60%

Based on our daily kline read for Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Thu Oct 08). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened is a classic balisong first obtainable from the Operation Breakout Weapon Case in 2014. This knife has been finished in a “Patina” style, with the Case Hardened finish: heat-treated steel blooming into swirls of royal blue, violet, and straw-gold across the clip-point blade. The dark handles with brushed metal inlays frame the iridescent colors and make the Butterfly’s fluid flip animations shine. Each pattern seed is unique: collectors hunt “blue gem” playsides with heavy cobalt coverage, while mixed oil-slick blends create dramatic, one-of-a-kind looks. In Factory New condition, the edge, spine, and latch area are pristine: no scratches, tip wear, or dulling, so the glossy oxide layer remains crisp and uninterrupted.
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Pricing

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened ranges in price from $1,234.10 to $2,338.37.

Live snapshot: 22 quotes from 22 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:47 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
DMARKET$1,224.62Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 00:22 UTC
CSMONEY$1,234.10Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:36 UTC
CSFLOAT$1,255.26Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:08 UTC
AIM_MARKET$1,265.62Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:09 UTC
YOUPIN$1,295.74Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:26 UTC
UUSKINS$1,300.92Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:33 UTC
SKINSWAP$1,304.53Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:57 UTC
BUFF$1,314.85Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 19:02 UTC
TRADEIT$1,327.07Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 07:56 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$1,341.33Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 06:46 UTC
AVANMARKET$1,364.30Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:01 UTC
SHADOWPAY$1,365.96Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:43 UTC
LIS_SKINS$1,366.49Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 19:59 UTC
SKINLAND$1,367.85Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:35 UTC
SKINVAULT$1,380.00Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 23:53 UTC
WHITEMARKET$1,383.09Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 20:05 UTC
MANNCO$1,390.78Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 11:12 UTC
ECOSTEAM$1,395.55Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:21 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$1,460.00Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 00:01 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY$1,468.74Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
C5$1,569.04Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:47 UTC
HALOSKINS$2,338.37Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 19:59 UTC
Lowest
$1,234.10
Median
$1,365.13
Highest
$2,338.37

Quoted prices for this variant range from $1,234.10 to $2,338.37 across 18 markets; the lowest asking price is on CSMONEY, the highest on HALOSKINS.

SeekSkins tracks 24 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on July 1, 2014 as part of the "Operation Breakout" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened can be found inside 1 container, including Operation Breakout Weapon Case