AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 82%

Based on our daily kline read for Nova | Rising Skull (Thu Oct 08). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Nova | Rising Skull — Nova’s low cost makes it a reliable ambush pick for budget‑strapped teams. It has been customized with an image of a skull using matte paints and an oil-based paint marker. In Factory New condition it has a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing nearly flawless with little to no visible wear.
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Pricing

Nova | Rising Skull ranges in price from $3.94 to $20.41.

Live snapshot: 26 quotes from 26 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:08 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
SKINSWAP$3.94Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:32 UTC
TRADEIT$3.97Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:31 UTC
SKINPORT$4.01Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:56 UTC
LIS_SKINS$4.01Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:24 UTC
SKINLAND$4.02Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:34 UTC
SKINVAULT$4.04Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:38 UTC
ECOSTEAM$4.10Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:27 UTC
CSFLOAT$4.12Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 19:02 UTC
AIM_MARKET$4.15Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:04 UTC
WAXPEER$4.21Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
WHITEMARKET$4.24Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:52 UTC
SHADOWPAY$4.24Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
C5$4.24Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:14 UTC
BUFF$4.26Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 11:37 UTC
HALOSKINS$4.29Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:05 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$4.35Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 11:36 UTC
CS_TRADE$4.37Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:42 UTC
YOUPIN$4.58Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:48 UTC
UUSKINS$4.60Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:48 UTC
AVANMARKET$4.62Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:01 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY$5.12Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$5.19Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:08 UTC
STEAM$5.29Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:02 UTC
DMARKET$6.05Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:59 UTC
CSMONEY$6.90Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 02:36 UTC
SKINFLOW$20.41Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:20 UTC
Lowest
$3.94
Median
$4.26
Highest
$20.41

Quoted prices for this variant range from $3.94 to $20.41 across 25 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINSWAP, the highest on SKINFLOW.

SeekSkins tracks 28 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

Nova | Rising Skull made its debut in CS2 on December 18, 2013 as part of the "Winter Offensive" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of Nova | Rising Skull is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

Nova | Rising Skull has a float range of 0.00 to 0.50, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

Nova | Rising Skull can be found inside 1 container, including Winter Offensive Weapon CaseIt belongs to the The Winter Offensive Collection