AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 58%

Based on our daily kline read for M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Fri Oct 09). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

The M9 bayonet, originally crafted to be mounted on a rifle, is just as effective for close-quarters fighting as it is as a military accessory. It has been color case-hardened through the application of wood charcoal at high temperatures. M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened ranges in price from $396.77 to $608.61.

Live snapshot: 23 quotes from 23 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:01 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
SKINSWAP	$396.77	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:32 UTC
YOUPIN	$399.49	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:23 UTC
CSFLOAT	$404.76	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 02:06 UTC
BUFF	$405.46	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:51 UTC
C5	$406.69	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:01 UTC
UUSKINS	$410.09	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:44 UTC
HALOSKINS	$410.95	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:21 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$414.48	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:06 UTC
TRADEIT	$418.42	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 01:20 UTC
SKINVAULT	$422.37	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:08 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$423.22	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:08 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$424.81	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:44 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$426.69	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:52 UTC
SKINLAND	$427.11	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:54 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$427.30	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:16 UTC
AVANMARKET	$430.15	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:32 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$430.59	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:42 UTC
MANNCO	$456.80	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:27 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$460.45	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:01 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$469.86	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$479.22	Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 15:29 UTC
LOOTFARM	$504.11	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 16:21 UTC
STEAM	$608.61	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:07 UTC

Lowest: $396.77
Median: $424.02
Highest: $608.61

Quoted prices for this variant range from $396.77 to $608.61 across 22 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINSWAP, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 23 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Background

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened can be found inside 11 containers, including CS:GO Weapon Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, CS:GO Weapon Case 3