AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 82%

Based on our daily kline read for Karambit | Case Hardened (Tue Oct 06). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Karambit | Case Hardened is a premium knife finish that debuted with CS:GO’s Arms Deal Update in August 2013, appearing as a Rare Special item across early Weapon Cases. The blade uses the “Patina” style: heat-treated steel that produces unique swirls of blue, purple, and gold. Every pattern seed is one-of-a-kind, and high-blue “blue gem” faces are especially coveted by collectors. The curved talon profile features a matte black handle with finger grooves and a safety ring for a secure, tactical grip. In Factory New condition, the blade shows crisp color case-hardening with no scuffs, edge wear, or discoloration, letting the iridescent sheen pop under any lighting. Beloved since launch and consistently ranked among the most popular knives, Karambit | Case Hardened remains in high demand for its rarity, iconic silhouette, and chase-worthy pattern variability.

Pricing

★ Karambit | Case Hardened ranges in price from $792.83 to $1,249.99.

Live snapshot: 25 quotes from 25 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:53 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
SKINSWAP	$792.83	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:27 UTC
TRADEIT	$796.36	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:41 UTC
DMARKET	$804.60	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 20:29 UTC
BUFF	$805.07	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:26 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$805.14	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:42 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$821.35	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:26 UTC
YOUPIN	$822.04	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:53 UTC
UUSKINS	$825.33	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:26 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$827.53	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:05 UTC
AVANMARKET	$834.64	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:31 UTC
CSFLOAT	$838.10	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:09 UTC
SKINVAULT	$842.47	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:47 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$843.99	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:31 UTC
CSMONEY	$851.49	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 20:37 UTC
C5	$859.10	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 15:48 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$862.53	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:48 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$866.93	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:47 UTC
SKINLAND	$867.79	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:48 UTC
HALOSKINS	$879.57	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:43 UTC
WAXPEER	$884.59	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:34 UTC
SKINPORT	$892.56	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:56 UTC
MANNCO	$911.14	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:52 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$931.64	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:01 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$940.36	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
STEAM	$1,249.99	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:07 UTC

Lowest: $792.83
Median: $843.99
Highest: $1,249.99

Quoted prices for this variant range from $792.83 to $1,249.99 across 25 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINSWAP, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 28 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 3 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Karambit | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Karambit | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Karambit | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Karambit | Case Hardened can be found inside 11 containers, including CS:GO Weapon Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, CS:GO Weapon Case 3