AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 82%

Based on our daily kline read for Karambit | Case Hardened (Tue Oct 06). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Karambit | Case Hardened is a premium knife finish that debuted with CS:GO’s Arms Deal Update in August 2013, appearing as a Rare Special item across early Weapon Cases. The blade uses the “Patina” style: heat-treated steel that produces unique swirls of blue, purple, and gold. Every pattern seed is one-of-a-kind, and high-blue “blue gem” faces are especially coveted by collectors. The curved talon profile features a matte black handle with finger grooves and a safety ring for a secure, tactical grip. In Factory New condition, the blade shows crisp color case-hardening with no scuffs, edge wear, or discoloration, letting the iridescent sheen pop under any lighting. Beloved since launch and consistently ranked among the most popular knives, Karambit | Case Hardened remains in high demand for its rarity, iconic silhouette, and chase-worthy pattern variability.

Pricing

★ Karambit | Case Hardened ranges in price from $574.20 to $824.90.

Live snapshot: 23 quotes from 23 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:11 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
YOUPIN	$574.20	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:23 UTC
CSFLOAT	$587.89	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:09 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$591.35	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:16 UTC
SKINSWAP	$592.69	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:27 UTC
UUSKINS	$594.98	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:51 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$604.78	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:28 UTC
C5	$605.11	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:01 UTC
SKINLAND	$605.38	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:25 UTC
BUFF	$610.67	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:11 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$611.92	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:56 UTC
HALOSKINS	$612.01	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:21 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$614.00	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:56 UTC
SKINVAULT	$622.92	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:09 UTC
AVANMARKET	$623.96	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$624.72	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:43 UTC
TRADEIT	$629.34	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 18:21 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$632.56	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:10 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$675.80	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:01 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$692.06	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$693.43	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:29 UTC
MANNCO	$696.92	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 18:06 UTC
LOOTFARM	$725.37	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 20:21 UTC
STEAM	$824.90	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:07 UTC

Lowest: $574.20
Median: $614.00
Highest: $824.90

Quoted prices for this variant range from $574.20 to $824.90 across 23 markets; the lowest asking price is on YOUPIN, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 23 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Background

★ Karambit | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Karambit | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Karambit | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Karambit | Case Hardened can be found inside 11 containers, including CS:GO Weapon Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, CS:GO Weapon Case 3