AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 82%

Based on our daily kline read for Nova | Rising Skull (Thu Oct 08). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Nova | Rising Skull — Nova’s low cost makes it a reliable ambush pick for budget‑strapped teams. It has been customized with an image of a skull using matte paints and an oil-based paint marker. In Factory New condition it has a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing nearly flawless with little to no visible wear.
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Pricing

Nova | Rising Skull ranges in price from $9.50 to $18.59.

Live snapshot: 21 quotes from 21 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:12 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
CSFLOAT$9.50Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 10:46 UTC
SKINSWAP$10.92Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:32 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$11.13Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:12 UTC
C5$11.18Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:01 UTC
ECOSTEAM$11.18Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:59 UTC
HALOSKINS$11.30Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:22 UTC
AVANMARKET$11.46Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 05:32 UTC
LIS_SKINS$11.47Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:06 UTC
SKINLAND$11.48Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:02 UTC
SKINFLOW$11.58Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 11:29 UTC
AIM_MARKET$11.64Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:53 UTC
SHADOWPAY$11.70Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:50 UTC
WHITEMARKET$11.75Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:38 UTC
YOUPIN$11.91Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:23 UTC
STEAM$12.18Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:03 UTC
UUSKINS$12.23Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 00:04 UTC
TRADEIT$12.48Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 07:56 UTC
SKINVAULT$12.94Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 01:48 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$13.18Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:06 UTC
BUFF$14.91Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:52 UTC
MANNCO$18.59Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 03:31 UTC
Lowest
$9.50
Median
$11.58
Highest
$18.59

Quoted prices for this variant range from $9.50 to $18.59 across 19 markets; the lowest asking price is on CSFLOAT, the highest on MANNCO.

SeekSkins tracks 23 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

Nova | Rising Skull made its debut in CS2 on December 18, 2013 as part of the "Winter Offensive" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of Nova | Rising Skull is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

Nova | Rising Skull has a float range of 0.00 to 0.50, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

Nova | Rising Skull can be found inside 1 container, including Winter Offensive Weapon CaseIt belongs to the The Winter Offensive Collection