AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 58%

Based on our daily kline read for M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Fri Oct 09). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

The M9 bayonet, originally crafted to be mounted on a rifle, is just as effective for close-quarters fighting as it is as a military accessory. It has been color case-hardened through the application of wood charcoal at high temperatures. M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened ranges in price from $397.57 to $620.49.

Live snapshot: 24 quotes from 24 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:28 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
YOUPIN	$397.57	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:02 UTC
BUFF	$402.56	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:11 UTC
UUSKINS	$408.03	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:07 UTC
CSFLOAT	$410.00	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:08 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$411.52	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:21 UTC
SKINSWAP	$412.03	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:32 UTC
C5	$416.06	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:02 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$418.41	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
HALOSKINS	$421.84	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:22 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$424.28	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:22 UTC
AVANMARKET	$427.91	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$428.43	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$428.60	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:16 UTC
SKINLAND	$429.02	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:16 UTC
SKINVAULT	$431.88	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:16 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$433.82	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:28 UTC
TRADEIT	$439.79	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:33 UTC
DMARKET	$454.47	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:14 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$457.26	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
MANNCO	$461.59	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:21 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$477.64	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 00:28 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$492.22	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:01 UTC
LOOTFARM	$499.18	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 01:20 UTC
STEAM	$620.49	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:07 UTC

Lowest: $397.57
Median: $428.43
Highest: $620.49

Quoted prices for this variant range from $397.57 to $620.49 across 23 markets; the lowest asking price is on YOUPIN, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 24 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Background

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened can be found inside 11 containers, including CS:GO Weapon Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, CS:GO Weapon Case 3