AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 72%

Based on our daily kline read for Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Thu Oct 08). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Paying tribute to the original falchion sword, this knife employs a modern clip point blade with a sweeping curved edge. It has been color case-hardened through the application of wood charcoal at high temperatures. Falchion Knife | Case Hardened in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened ranges in price from $112.91 to $302.82.

Live snapshot: 26 quotes from 26 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:57 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
LIS_SKINS	$112.91	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:26 UTC
CSFLOAT	$112.99	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:09 UTC
SKINLAND	$113.02	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:25 UTC
SKINVAULT	$116.30	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:09 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$116.94	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:09 UTC
C5	$117.66	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:53 UTC
TRADEIT	$117.71	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 18:03 UTC
WAXPEER	$118.56	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:03 UTC
HALOSKINS	$118.69	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:12 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$118.86	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:10 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$119.55	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:53 UTC
CSMONEY	$120.51	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:20 UTC
AVANMARKET	$121.22	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:31 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$123.67	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:34 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$125.28	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:57 UTC
DMARKET	$125.97	Wed, Oct 07, 2026, 17:10 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$129.82	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:01 UTC
LOOTFARM	$139.90	Wed, Sep 30, 2026, 02:55 UTC
BUFF	$140.47	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 07:42 UTC
YOUPIN	$140.63	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 20:31 UTC
UUSKINS	$141.19	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 20:34 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$143.30	Thu, Oct 08, 2026, 13:21 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$143.86	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 18:01 UTC
STEAM	$160.00	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 20:59 UTC
MANNCO	$167.33	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 20:51 UTC
SKINPORT	$302.82	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:56 UTC

Lowest: $112.91
Median: $120.51
Highest: $302.82

Quoted prices for this variant range from $112.91 to $302.82 across 23 markets; the lowest asking price is on LIS_SKINS, the highest on SKINPORT.

SeekSkins tracks 27 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on May 26, 2015 as part of the "The Hunter and the Hunted" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened can be found inside 1 container, including Falchion Case