AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 72%

Based on our daily kline read for Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Thu Oct 08). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Paying tribute to the original falchion sword, this knife employs a modern clip point blade with a sweeping curved edge. It has been color case-hardened through the application of wood charcoal at high temperatures. Falchion Knife | Case Hardened in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened ranges in price from $121.04 to $185.87.

Live snapshot: 27 quotes from 27 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:51 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
ECOSTEAM	$121.04	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:51 UTC
CSMONEY	$122.81	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:54 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$124.67	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:58 UTC
DMARKET	$126.59	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:23 UTC
TRADEIT	$126.62	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:13 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$126.90	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:26 UTC
SKINLAND	$127.02	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:25 UTC
SKINVAULT	$127.07	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:27 UTC
CSFLOAT	$127.51	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:09 UTC
C5	$128.51	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:53 UTC
HALOSKINS	$128.70	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:51 UTC
AVANMARKET	$130.77	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:01 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$130.80	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:15 UTC
WAXPEER	$133.25	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:03 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$133.42	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:49 UTC
YOUPIN	$138.72	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 06:22 UTC
UUSKINS	$139.28	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 06:24 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$140.47	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:01 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$141.78	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:09 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$150.35	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:11 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$151.73	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
SKINFLOW	$158.17	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:22 UTC
SKINPORT	$159.21	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 05:56 UTC
LOOTFARM	$160.87	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:21 UTC
BUFF	$164.38	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 05:57 UTC
STEAM	$168.57	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 08:59 UTC
MANNCO	$185.87	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:27 UTC

Lowest: $121.04
Median: $133.25
Highest: $185.87

Quoted prices for this variant range from $121.04 to $185.87 across 27 markets; the lowest asking price is on ECOSTEAM, the highest on MANNCO.

SeekSkins tracks 29 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on May 26, 2015 as part of the "The Hunter and the Hunted" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened can be found inside 1 container, including Falchion Case