AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 58%

Based on our daily kline read for M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Fri Oct 09). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

The M9 bayonet, originally crafted to be mounted on a rifle, is just as effective for close-quarters fighting as it is as a military accessory. It has been color case-hardened through the application of wood charcoal at high temperatures. M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened ranges in price from $512.19 to $815.83.

Live snapshot: 23 quotes from 23 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:20 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
BUFF	$512.19	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:11 UTC
SKINSWAP	$521.97	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:02 UTC
SKINVAULT	$532.62	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:53 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$532.99	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:36 UTC
C5	$534.64	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:12 UTC
YOUPIN	$534.84	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:12 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$537.95	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:32 UTC
CSFLOAT	$539.00	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 11:07 UTC
HALOSKINS	$540.37	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:23 UTC
AVANMARKET	$548.24	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$548.41	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:23 UTC
UUSKINS	$548.92	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:09 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$555.79	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:44 UTC
SKINLAND	$556.34	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:47 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$559.23	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:47 UTC
TRADEIT	$560.02	Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 08:51 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$561.64	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:43 UTC
DMARKET	$570.93	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:20 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$579.88	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:03 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$583.79	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:30 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$589.82	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
MANNCO	$596.70	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 02:36 UTC
STEAM	$815.83	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:07 UTC

Lowest: $512.19
Median: $548.67
Highest: $815.83

Quoted prices for this variant range from $512.19 to $815.83 across 22 markets; the lowest asking price is on BUFF, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 23 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Background

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened can be found inside 11 containers, including CS:GO Weapon Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, CS:GO Weapon Case 3