AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 82%

Based on our daily kline read for Nova | Rising Skull (Thu Oct 08). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Nova | Rising Skull — Nova’s low cost makes it a reliable ambush pick for budget‑strapped teams. It has been customized with an image of a skull using matte paints and an oil-based paint marker. In Factory New condition it has a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing nearly flawless with little to no visible wear.
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Pricing

Nova | Rising Skull ranges in price from $4.50 to $7.09.

Live snapshot: 22 quotes from 22 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:01 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
CSFLOAT$4.50Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:09 UTC
TRADEIT$4.57Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 20:41 UTC
SKINSWAP$4.65Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:22 UTC
C5$4.65Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:01 UTC
AVANMARKET$4.71Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:01 UTC
HALOSKINS$4.71Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:15 UTC
YOUPIN$4.76Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:14 UTC
LIS_SKINS$4.77Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:12 UTC
SKINLAND$4.78Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:10 UTC
ECOSTEAM$4.81Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:09 UTC
SKINFLOW$4.82Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:23 UTC
SKINVAULT$4.83Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:13 UTC
AIM_MARKET$4.84Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:51 UTC
UUSKINS$4.89Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:41 UTC
WHITEMARKET$4.91Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:28 UTC
SHADOWPAY$4.99Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:16 UTC
BUFF$5.08Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:51 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$5.20Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:51 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$5.34Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:08 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY$5.82Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:01 UTC
MANNCO$6.00Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:22 UTC
STEAM$7.09Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:02 UTC
Lowest
$4.50
Median
$4.83
Highest
$7.09

Quoted prices for this variant range from $4.50 to $7.09 across 22 markets; the lowest asking price is on CSFLOAT, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 23 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

Nova | Rising Skull made its debut in CS2 on December 18, 2013 as part of the "Winter Offensive" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of Nova | Rising Skull is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

Nova | Rising Skull has a float range of 0.00 to 0.50, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

Nova | Rising Skull can be found inside 1 container, including Winter Offensive Weapon CaseIt belongs to the The Winter Offensive Collection