AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 82%

Based on our daily kline read for Nova | Rising Skull (Thu Oct 08). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Nova | Rising Skull — Nova’s low cost makes it a reliable ambush pick for budget‑strapped teams. It has been customized with an image of a skull using matte paints and an oil-based paint marker. In Factory New condition it has a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing nearly flawless with little to no visible wear.
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Pricing

Nova | Rising Skull ranges in price from $5.05 to $28.16.

Live snapshot: 20 quotes from 20 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:22 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
MARKET_CSGO$5.05Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:05 UTC
SKINVAULT$5.56Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 21:13 UTC
STEAM$5.62Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:02 UTC
CSFLOAT$5.80Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 10:04 UTC
DMARKET$5.89Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:22 UTC
WHITEMARKET$6.60Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 07:53 UTC
AIM_MARKET$6.91Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 07:31 UTC
LIS_SKINS$6.91Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 07:38 UTC
AVANMARKET$6.92Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 08:01 UTC
SKINLAND$6.92Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 07:40 UTC
ECOSTEAM$7.06Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
SHADOWPAY$7.42Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$8.00Wed, Oct 07, 2026, 17:56 UTC
C5$10.44Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:01 UTC
HALOSKINS$10.56Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:23 UTC
SKINFLOW$10.81Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:20 UTC
YOUPIN$27.07Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:25 UTC
UUSKINS$27.78Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 00:04 UTC
BUFF$28.16Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:11 UTC
CSMONEY$35.00Wed, Sep 30, 2026, 07:16 UTC
Lowest
$5.05
Median
$6.92
Highest
$28.16

Quoted prices for this variant range from $5.05 to $28.16 across 16 markets; the lowest asking price is on MARKET_CSGO, the highest on BUFF.

SeekSkins tracks 21 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

Nova | Rising Skull made its debut in CS2 on December 18, 2013 as part of the "Winter Offensive" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of Nova | Rising Skull is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

Nova | Rising Skull has a float range of 0.00 to 0.50, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

Nova | Rising Skull can be found inside 1 container, including Winter Offensive Weapon CaseIt belongs to the The Winter Offensive Collection