AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 82%

Based on our daily kline read for Karambit | Case Hardened (Tue Oct 06). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Karambit | Case Hardened is a premium knife finish that debuted with CS:GO’s Arms Deal Update in August 2013, appearing as a Rare Special item across early Weapon Cases. The blade uses the “Patina” style: heat-treated steel that produces unique swirls of blue, purple, and gold. Every pattern seed is one-of-a-kind, and high-blue “blue gem” faces are especially coveted by collectors. The curved talon profile features a matte black handle with finger grooves and a safety ring for a secure, tactical grip. In Factory New condition, the blade shows crisp color case-hardening with no scuffs, edge wear, or discoloration, letting the iridescent sheen pop under any lighting. Beloved since launch and consistently ranked among the most popular knives, Karambit | Case Hardened remains in high demand for its rarity, iconic silhouette, and chase-worthy pattern variability.

Pricing

★ Karambit | Case Hardened ranges in price from $1,460.58 to $1,756.96.

Live snapshot: 22 quotes from 22 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:57 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
CSMONEY	$1,460.58	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 15:21 UTC
SKINSWAP	$1,487.50	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:02 UTC
BUFF	$1,495.36	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 03:27 UTC
CSFLOAT	$1,549.00	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 04:03 UTC
YOUPIN	$1,550.99	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 03:16 UTC
UUSKINS	$1,557.19	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 03:20 UTC
TRADEIT	$1,588.50	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 11:26 UTC
SKINVAULT	$1,603.55	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 05:35 UTC
C5	$1,606.40	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:53 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$1,616.78	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:57 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$1,619.17	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:55 UTC
HALOSKINS	$1,621.22	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:45 UTC
AVANMARKET	$1,633.07	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 11:02 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$1,635.04	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$1,635.68	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:56 UTC
SKINLAND	$1,637.31	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:56 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$1,646.36	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 03:21 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$1,654.11	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:38 UTC
WAXPEER	$1,683.73	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:56 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$1,689.52	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
MANNCO	$1,734.24	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 03:42 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$1,756.96	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:02 UTC

Lowest: $1,460.58
Median: $1,621.22
Highest: $1,756.96

Quoted prices for this variant range from $1,460.58 to $1,756.96 across 21 markets; the lowest asking price is on CSMONEY, the highest on MARKET_CSGO.

SeekSkins tracks 22 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Background

★ Karambit | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Karambit | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Karambit | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Karambit | Case Hardened can be found inside 11 containers, including CS:GO Weapon Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, CS:GO Weapon Case 3