AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 58%

Based on our daily kline read for M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened (Fri Oct 09). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

The M9 bayonet, originally crafted to be mounted on a rifle, is just as effective for close-quarters fighting as it is as a military accessory. It has been color case-hardened through the application of wood charcoal at high temperatures. M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened ranges in price from $1,024.99 to $1,582.36.

Live snapshot: 22 quotes from 22 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:26 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
CSFLOAT	$970.00	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 06:57 UTC
DMARKET	$1,024.99	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:26 UTC
CSMONEY	$1,048.58	Thu, Oct 08, 2026, 22:36 UTC
SKINSWAP	$1,066.84	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:02 UTC
AVANMARKET	$1,082.19	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:01 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$1,106.25	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 11:59 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$1,120.61	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 08:04 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$1,121.26	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 UTC
C5	$1,121.87	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:01 UTC
SKINLAND	$1,122.38	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 UTC
YOUPIN	$1,124.85	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:25 UTC
HALOSKINS	$1,134.01	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:23 UTC
UUSKINS	$1,154.45	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 00:04 UTC
SKINVAULT	$1,166.76	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 12:25 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$1,170.88	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
TRADEIT	$1,177.66	Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 07:56 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$1,184.00	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 13:39 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$1,194.49	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:16 UTC
MANNCO	$1,261.86	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 02:36 UTC
BUFF	$1,357.04	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:14 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$1,387.21	Wed, Oct 07, 2026, 08:11 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$1,582.36	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:03 UTC

Lowest: $1,024.99
Median: $1,124.85
Highest: $1,582.36

Quoted prices for this variant range from $1,024.99 to $1,582.36 across 17 markets; the lowest asking price is on DMARKET, the highest on MARKET_CSGO.

SeekSkins tracks 23 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened can be found inside 11 containers, including CS:GO Weapon Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, CS:GO Weapon Case 3