AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 75%

Based on our daily kline read for Bayonet | Fade (Fri Oct 09). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

★ Bayonet | Fade is a timeless showpiece blade first obtainable as a Rare Special drop in the original Arms Deal cases. This Bayonet has been finished in an “Anodized Airbrushed” style, with the Fade finish: silky gradients sweep from warm gold at the ricasso through vivid magenta into deep violet near the tip, emphasizing the knife’s classic spear-point profile, long fuller, and simple crossguard. The mirror-like anodized sheen catches light dramatically, giving the blade a sleek, show-car glow that pairs beautifully with other Fade items. In Factory New condition, the surface is immaculate: no edge rub on the spine or belly, no micro-scratches around the tip or guard, and the color transitions remain rich and uninterrupted.
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Pricing

★ Bayonet | Fade ranges in price from $435.99 to $1,000.34.

Live snapshot: 22 quotes from 22 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:36 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
DMARKET$435.99Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:36 UTC
ECOSTEAM$444.41Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:01 UTC
YOUPIN$447.38Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:44 UTC
CSMONEY$449.56Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:33 UTC
SKINSWAP$451.00Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 12:51 UTC
AIM_MARKET$451.18Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:55 UTC
UUSKINS$459.15Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 00:04 UTC
SKINVAULT$459.68Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:05 UTC
C5$463.02Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:01 UTC
HALOSKINS$468.04Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:40 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$468.39Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:00 UTC
TRADEIT$468.39Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 16:52 UTC
BUFF$477.20Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:13 UTC
LIS_SKINS$478.20Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:56 UTC
SKINLAND$478.67Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:56 UTC
AVANMARKET$481.52Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 04:01 UTC
SHADOWPAY$482.10Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:03 UTC
WHITEMARKET$483.87Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:38 UTC
SKINFLOW$485.45Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 22:49 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$487.81Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:47 UTC
CSFLOAT$498.30Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:07 UTC
STEAM$1,000.34Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 20:21 UTC
Lowest
$435.99
Median
$468.39
Highest
$1,000.34

Quoted prices for this variant range from $435.99 to $1,000.34 across 19 markets; the lowest asking price is on DMARKET, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 24 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Bayonet | Fade made its debut in CS2 on August 14, 2013 as part of the "The Arms Deal" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Bayonet | Fade is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Bayonet | Fade has a float range of 0.00 to 0.08, meaning it comes in Factory New and Minimal Wear

How to Obtain

★ Bayonet | Fade can be found inside 11 containers, including CS:GO Weapon Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, CS:GO Weapon Case 3