AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 82%

Based on our daily kline read for Nova | Rising Skull (Thu Oct 08). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Nova | Rising Skull — Nova’s low cost makes it a reliable ambush pick for budget‑strapped teams. It has been customized with an image of a skull using matte paints and an oil-based paint marker. In Factory New condition it has a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing nearly flawless with little to no visible wear.

Pricing

Nova | Rising Skull ranges in price from $7.81 to $21.32.

Live snapshot: 16 quotes from 16 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:32 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
MARKET_CSGO	$7.81	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:12 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$7.95	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:01 UTC
STEAM	$9.01	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:03 UTC
C5	$9.79	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:01 UTC
HALOSKINS	$9.90	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:01 UTC
SKINFLOW	$10.14	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:20 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$10.19	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:08 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$10.30	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:32 UTC
WAXPEER	$11.47	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:30 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$11.79	Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 13:51 UTC
SKINLAND	$11.80	Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 13:49 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$13.57	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:19 UTC
CSFLOAT	$14.06	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 13:04 UTC
BUFF	$21.32	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:13 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$21.74	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 04:51 UTC
AVANMARKET	$23.66	Wed, Oct 07, 2026, 17:32 UTC

Lowest: $7.81
Median: $10.17
Highest: $21.32

Quoted prices for this variant range from $7.81 to $21.32 across 12 markets; the lowest asking price is on MARKET_CSGO, the highest on BUFF.

SeekSkins tracks 18 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

Nova | Rising Skull made its debut in CS2 on December 18, 2013 as part of the "Winter Offensive" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of Nova | Rising Skull is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

Nova | Rising Skull has a float range of 0.00 to 0.50, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

Nova | Rising Skull can be found inside 1 container, including Winter Offensive Weapon CaseIt belongs to the The Winter Offensive Collection