AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 82%

Based on our daily kline read for Nova | Rising Skull (Thu Oct 08). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

Nova | Rising Skull — Nova’s low cost makes it a reliable ambush pick for budget‑strapped teams. It has been customized with an image of a skull using matte paints and an oil-based paint marker. In Factory New condition it has a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing nearly flawless with little to no visible wear.

Pricing

Nova | Rising Skull ranges in price from $6.32 to $15.24.

Live snapshot: 13 quotes from 13 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:01 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
CSMONEY	$4.78	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 16:39 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$5.73	Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 11:22 UTC
AVANMARKET	$5.74	Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 11:32 UTC
SKINLAND	$5.74	Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 11:22 UTC
SKINVAULT	$5.82	Fri, Oct 09, 2026, 10:56 UTC
STEAM	$6.32	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:03 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$9.89	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:12 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$10.00	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 23:04 UTC
C5	$10.29	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:01 UTC
SKINFLOW	$11.62	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:25 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$11.68	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:08 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$12.02	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:02 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$15.24	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:18 UTC

Lowest: $6.32
Median: $10.95
Highest: $15.24

Quoted prices for this variant range from $6.32 to $15.24 across 8 markets; the lowest asking price is on STEAM, the highest on ECOSTEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 16 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 3 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

Nova | Rising Skull made its debut in CS2 on December 18, 2013 as part of the "Winter Offensive" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of Nova | Rising Skull is Restricted, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.64% when unboxing. This makes it a rare drop.

Exterior Versions

Nova | Rising Skull has a float range of 0.00 to 0.50, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

Nova | Rising Skull can be found inside 1 container, including Winter Offensive Weapon CaseIt belongs to the The Winter Offensive Collection