AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 78%

Based on our daily kline read for M4A1-S | Nightmare (Thu Oct 08). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

M4A1-S | Nightmare is a haunting centerpiece for stealthy loadouts. Released in August 2018 with the Horizon Case, it gives the silenced M4 a chilling, storybook-horror makeover. This M4A1-S has been painted in a Custom Paint Job” style, with the Nightmare finish: a ghostly creature with glowing eyes spreads across the receiver and mag, while spectral feathers and claws streak in electric blues down the handguard, stock, and even the suppressor. Midnight-violet shadows keep the silhouette readable, and faint gradients along the can and buffer tube add depth without clutter. Pattern index can shift the placement of the creature and feathering, giving each piece subtle uniqueness. In Factory New condition, the artwork is immaculate—no scuffs on the suppressor’s rim, no edge wear on the carry handle or magwell, and the neon blues remain razor-crisp and luminous.
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Pricing

M4A1-S | Nightmare ranges in price from $5.53 to $9.49.

Live snapshot: 28 quotes from 28 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:19 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
TRADEIT$5.53Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:02 UTC
SKINSWAP$5.70Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:02 UTC
SKINOUT$5.76Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:06 UTC
DMARKET$5.77Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:17 UTC
CSFLOAT$5.80Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:07 UTC
LIS_SKINS$5.81Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:15 UTC
SKINLAND$5.82Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:13 UTC
C5$5.85Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:01 UTC
HALOSKINS$5.87Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:16 UTC
AVANMARKET$5.91Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
CSMONEY$5.92Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:10 UTC
ECOSTEAM$5.93Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:19 UTC
YOUPIN$5.94Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:14 UTC
AIM_MARKET$5.94Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:17 UTC
WHITEMARKET$5.94Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:19 UTC
SKINFLOW$5.95Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:29 UTC
UUSKINS$5.96Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:16 UTC
BUFF$5.96Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:27 UTC
SKINVAULT$5.98Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:16 UTC
WAXPEER$6.05Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:06 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$6.10Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:16 UTC
CS_TRADE$6.19Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:42 UTC
SHADOWPAY$6.24Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:19 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$6.63Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:05 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY$6.67Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
STEAM$7.31Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 08:05 UTC
SKINPORT$7.32Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:56 UTC
MANNCO$9.49Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 05:47 UTC
Lowest
$5.53
Median
$5.94
Highest
$9.49

Quoted prices for this variant range from $5.53 to $9.49 across 28 markets; the lowest asking price is on TRADEIT, the highest on MANNCO.

SeekSkins tracks 29 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

M4A1-S | Nightmare made its debut in CS2 on August 1, 2018 as part of the "A New Horizon" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of M4A1-S | Nightmare is Classified, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.32% when unboxing. This makes it a very rare drop.

Exterior Versions

M4A1-S | Nightmare has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

M4A1-S | Nightmare can be found inside 1 container, including Horizon CaseIt belongs to the The Horizon Collection