AI market verdict (free summary)

BullishConfidence 60%

Based on our daily kline read for Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Sat Oct 10). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened is a coveted curved blade finish introduced on August 1, 2018, released as a rare special item from the Horizon Case and later also available in the Danger Zone Case. It uses the Patina finish style with the Case Hardened coating: the blade is treated through a high-temperature case-hardening process that leaves mottled heat stains in blue, purple, and gold across raw steel, while the handle remains mostly clean for contrast. Because the look depends heavily on the pattern index, each knife can vary dramatically, rare “Blue Gem” patterns with deep blue coverage are especially prized. In Factory New condition, it appears pristine with virtually no scuffs, scratches, or dulled edges, keeping the metallic sheen bright and the colors crisp.

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Pricing

★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened ranges in price from $362.48 to $551.79.

Live snapshot: 28 quotes from 28 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:17 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
SKINSWAP$362.48Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:02 UTC
CSMONEY$369.49Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:24 UTC
YOUPIN$371.80Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:03 UTC
UUSKINS$373.29Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:05 UTC
BUFF$373.58Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:32 UTC
TRADEIT$375.09Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:22 UTC
CSFLOAT$376.61Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:07 UTC
C5$376.80Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:13 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$381.10Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:56 UTC
AIM_MARKET$386.15Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:08 UTC
DMARKET$386.20Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 11:31 UTC
HALOSKINS$389.19Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:16 UTC
AVANMARKET$390.03Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
LIS_SKINS$390.40Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:15 UTC
SKINLAND$390.79Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:16 UTC
SKINVAULT$390.91Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:15 UTC
WAXPEER$391.56Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:16 UTC
SHADOWPAY$391.95Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:05 UTC
ECOSTEAM$392.11Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:08 UTC
SKINFLOW$394.32Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 02:17 UTC
WHITEMARKET$396.88Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:17 UTC
SKINPORT$405.93Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:56 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$419.17Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:04 UTC
MANNCO$425.12Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 02:36 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY$438.69Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
PIRATESWAP$440.33Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:27 UTC
LOOTFARM$467.46Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 13:21 UTC
STEAM$551.79Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 21:10 UTC
Lowest
$362.48
Median
$390.60
Highest
$551.79

Quoted prices for this variant range from $362.48 to $551.79 across 28 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINSWAP, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 29 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 1, 2018 as part of the "A New Horizon" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened can be found inside 2 containers, including Danger Zone Case, Horizon Case