AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 70%

Based on our daily kline read for Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Sat Oct 10). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

The Ursus knife is a tanto-style survival blade with a faceted edge, complete tang, and impact-ready pommel. It's a straightforward, maintenance-free tool built for reliability. It has been color case-hardened through the application of wood charcoal at high temperatures. StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened ranges in price from $112.37 to $169.00.

Live snapshot: 26 quotes from 26 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:35 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
SKINSWAP	$112.37	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:02 UTC
CSMONEY	$113.63	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 07:11 UTC
DMARKET	$113.75	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:35 UTC
SKINVAULT	$114.69	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:03 UTC
CSFLOAT	$115.00	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 11:07 UTC
BUFF	$115.65	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:10 UTC
YOUPIN	$116.91	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:10 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$117.30	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:16 UTC
UUSKINS	$117.38	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:10 UTC
AVANMARKET	$118.03	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:02 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$118.06	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:08 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$118.74	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:41 UTC
HALOSKINS	$119.90	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:05 UTC
TRADEIT	$120.24	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 22:41 UTC
C5	$120.31	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:13 UTC
WAXPEER	$120.39	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:06 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$120.48	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:40 UTC
SKINLAND	$120.51	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:39 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$120.52	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:17 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$123.74	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:19 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$130.47	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$131.10	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:04 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$136.15	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 03:36 UTC
MANNCO	$140.77	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:31 UTC
SKINPORT	$144.42	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:56 UTC
STEAM	$169.00	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 21:07 UTC

Lowest: $112.37
Median: $120.07
Highest: $169.00

Quoted prices for this variant range from $112.37 to $169.00 across 26 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINSWAP, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 27 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 1, 2018 as part of the "A New Horizon" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened can be found inside 2 containers, including Danger Zone Case, Horizon Case