AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 70%

Based on our daily kline read for Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Sat Oct 10). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

The Ursus knife is a tanto-style survival blade with a faceted edge, complete tang, and impact-ready pommel. It's a straightforward, maintenance-free tool built for reliability. It has been color case-hardened through the application of wood charcoal at high temperatures. StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened ranges in price from $100.88 to $137.43.

Live snapshot: 26 quotes from 26 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:30 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
SKINSWAP	$100.88	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:02 UTC
CSMONEY	$101.93	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:34 UTC
CSFLOAT	$102.70	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:08 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$102.87	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:56 UTC
SKINLAND	$102.97	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:04 UTC
DMARKET	$104.92	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:37 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$105.20	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:59 UTC
TRADEIT	$105.55	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:03 UTC
SKINPORT	$105.72	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:56 UTC
BUFF	$105.77	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:17 UTC
SKINVAULT	$105.96	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:10 UTC
C5	$106.32	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:15 UTC
YOUPIN	$106.40	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:07 UTC
UUSKINS	$106.83	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:10 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$107.23	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:08 UTC
HALOSKINS	$107.34	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:45 UTC
AVANMARKET	$112.03	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 11:02 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$112.17	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:03 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$112.81	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:06 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$113.58	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:28 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$115.37	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:10 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$122.86	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
WAXPEER	$124.44	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:30 UTC
MANNCO	$124.65	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:27 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$128.49	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:06 UTC
STEAM	$137.43	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:07 UTC

Lowest: $100.88
Median: $106.62
Highest: $137.43

Quoted prices for this variant range from $100.88 to $137.43 across 26 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINSWAP, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 28 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 1, 2018 as part of the "A New Horizon" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened can be found inside 2 containers, including Danger Zone Case, Horizon Case