AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 70%

Based on our daily kline read for Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Sat Oct 10). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

The Ursus knife is a tanto-style survival blade with a faceted edge, complete tang, and impact-ready pommel. It's a straightforward, maintenance-free tool built for reliability. It has been color case-hardened through the application of wood charcoal at high temperatures. StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened ranges in price from $96.83 to $131.75.

Live snapshot: 26 quotes from 26 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:22 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
SKINSWAP	$96.83	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:57 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$98.80	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:34 UTC
SKINLAND	$98.89	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:44 UTC
TRADEIT	$98.90	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 18:03 UTC
C5	$98.98	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:15 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$99.37	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:14 UTC
CSMONEY	$99.49	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:22 UTC
AVANMARKET	$99.65	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:32 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$100.00	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:06 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$101.47	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:48 UTC
CSFLOAT	$101.53	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 17:06 UTC
SKINVAULT	$101.76	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:44 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$103.50	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:37 UTC
WAXPEER	$103.74	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:39 UTC
HALOSKINS	$104.11	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:48 UTC
BUFF	$104.53	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:32 UTC
YOUPIN	$106.63	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:31 UTC
UUSKINS	$107.06	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:33 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$109.75	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:01 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$110.43	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:26 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$112.24	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:01 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$112.58	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:06 UTC
DMARKET	$114.97	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:51 UTC
MANNCO	$126.87	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 18:06 UTC
STEAM	$129.56	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:07 UTC
SKINPORT	$131.75	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:56 UTC

Lowest: $96.83
Median: $103.62
Highest: $131.75

Quoted prices for this variant range from $96.83 to $131.75 across 26 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINSWAP, the highest on SKINPORT.

SeekSkins tracks 28 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 1, 2018 as part of the "A New Horizon" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened can be found inside 2 containers, including Danger Zone Case, Horizon Case