AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 70%

Based on our daily kline read for Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Sat Oct 10). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

The Ursus knife is a tanto-style survival blade with a faceted edge, complete tang, and impact-ready pommel. It's a straightforward, maintenance-free tool built for reliability. It has been color case-hardened through the application of wood charcoal at high temperatures. StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened ranges in price from $207.38 to $334.42.

Live snapshot: 22 quotes from 22 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:01 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
BUFF	$207.38	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:54 UTC
SKINSWAP	$211.70	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:18 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$212.05	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 02:46 UTC
C5	$213.04	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 10:01 UTC
HALOSKINS	$215.50	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:13 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$216.02	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:28 UTC
SKINLAND	$216.23	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:24 UTC
CSFLOAT	$219.22	Sat, Oct 10, 2026, 15:59 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$219.66	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:21 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$221.67	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:04 UTC
SKINVAULT	$222.33	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:16 UTC
YOUPIN	$223.57	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:11 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$223.99	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:10 UTC
CSMONEY	$225.32	Thu, Oct 08, 2026, 16:06 UTC
AVANMARKET	$226.13	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:02 UTC
UUSKINS	$229.50	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:02 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$230.73	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:43 UTC
TRADEIT	$234.12	Sun, Oct 11, 2026, 13:18 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$234.73	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
MANNCO	$241.71	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:32 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$316.35	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:04 UTC
STEAM	$334.42	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 09:07 UTC

Lowest: $207.38
Median: $222.95
Highest: $334.42

Quoted prices for this variant range from $207.38 to $334.42 across 18 markets; the lowest asking price is on BUFF, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 23 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 1, 2018 as part of the "A New Horizon" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened can be found inside 2 containers, including Danger Zone Case, Horizon Case